Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.422949 0.487599 0.557841 0.639700 0.732342 0.833800 0.953190
2025-09-28 0.304717 0.391109 0.494201 0.625685 0.788254 0.981953 1.229446
2025-10-05 0.250023 0.347352 0.471736 0.641019 0.863866 1.145485 1.526316
2025-10-12 0.219192 0.324933 0.467811 0.672688 0.956175 1.331390 1.861703
2025-10-19 0.191596 0.300904 0.456060 0.688953 1.025435 1.488859 2.168979
2025-10-26 0.167370 0.277187 0.440245 0.695354 1.078530 1.625309 2.454964
2025-11-02 0.145935 0.254049 0.421476 0.693682 1.117407 1.741945 2.718710
2025-11-09 0.126545 0.231083 0.399598 0.683722 1.141096 1.835916 2.953559
2025-11-16 0.110440 0.211105 0.379689 0.673861 1.162560 1.926180 3.186912
2025-11-23 0.094738 0.189497 0.354284 0.651687 1.161150 1.979248 3.364275
2025-11-30 0.090461 0.187864 0.362587 0.686737 1.256060 2.190705 3.805394
2025-12-07 0.078974 0.171063 0.342078 0.669219 1.259860 2.253333 4.008091
2025-12-14 0.068707 0.155405 0.322212 0.651389 1.262491 2.315763 4.217827
2025-12-21 0.060180 0.142064 0.305193 0.637056 1.270047 2.387085 4.447797
2025-12-28 0.055995 0.137240 0.304098 0.652636 1.333166 2.558706 4.861283
2026-01-04 0.053875 0.136610 0.311259 0.684826 1.429624 2.795332 5.403175
2026-01-11 0.050436 0.132496 0.310715 0.701356 1.497079 2.983337 5.868631
2026-01-18 0.046472 0.126564 0.305604 0.707863 1.545111 3.138101 6.282009
2026-01-25 0.042284 0.119452 0.297066 0.706163 1.576234 3.262477 6.645432
2026-02-01 0.037942 0.111288 0.285208 0.696040 1.589090 3.352296 6.948345
2026-02-08 0.034089 0.103777 0.273950 0.686017 1.601063 3.440630 7.252780
2026-02-15 0.029907 0.094702 0.257902 0.663479 1.584379 3.470790 7.445176
2026-02-22 0.029435 0.095824 0.266698 0.699104 1.696201 3.765387 8.174844